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Re: shim6 @ NANOG (forwarded note from John Payne)

  • From: Geoff Huston
  • Date: Sun Mar 05 14:58:16 2006 
At 07:37 AM 4/03/2006, Marshall Eubanks wrote:




On Mar 3, 2006, at 5:55 AM, Kurt Erik Lindqvist wrote:


On 2 mar 2006, at 06.16, Kevin Day wrote:


No, I'm just trying to be practical here... Estimates of IPv4 pool
exhaustion range from Mid 2008 (Tony Hain's ARIN presentation) to
roughly 2012 (Geoff Huston's ARIN presentation). Sooner if a mad
dash for space starts happening (or isn't happening already).

Does anyone here really believe that there is time for:

So what I think we might need (that I wrote in an internet-draft
some years ago) is the following things in exactly this order :

0. PI space with an artifically high barrier on entry yet available
when needed (read cost+administration=LIR or equiv.).
1. Ducttape ala shim6
2. One of breakthrough in graph-theory or a completely new
addressing/routing paradigm. Most like the latter.

I will bet anyone reading this $ 20 USD right now that what will
actually happen is
the development of a spot market in IPv4 address space.

That was part of the speculative component of my report at the time, and, no, I won't be lining up to take your bet - I agree with you that such a market is pretty much an inevitably.

Of course you could always start a futures market right now!

cheers,

Geoff

.