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North American Network Operators Group Date Prev | Date Next | Date Index | Thread Index | Author Index | Historical CIDR Report
I was just looking through the graphs on Tony's Web site and noticed something somewhat disturbing. For the first 2000 days of Tony's plots (starting from 1/1/1994) the number of routes has grown roughly by 10,000 every 500 days. so 20k --> 30k, 30k --> 40k, 40k --> 50k, & 50k --> 60k. But if you look at the last 250 days or so you see that the table has grown by more than 16k routes. So we are seeing growth at 300% of what we saw for the last 5 plus years. It also looks annoyingly geometric or perhaps exponential, instead of the nice linear growth since CIDR was introduced. Take a look at: http://www.employees.org/~tbates/cidr.hist.plot.html Just eyeballing it since I am too tired to actually plot the number right now it looks like we could hit 100k routes by the end of the year or early next year. To the $64,000^h^h^h^h^h^h $10,000,000 (you gotta change with the times :-) questions are why? anyone care to guess when it starts to become a problem and with what widely deployed boxes first? is there anything we can do about it? Have a good weekend. ---> Phil
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