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Re: Code Red growth stats

  • From: Larry Rosenman
  • Date: Wed Aug 01 21:45:21 2001

* Jasper Wallace <[email protected]> [010801 16:37]:
> 
> On Wed, 1 Aug 2001, Steven M. Bellovin wrote:
> 
> >
> > In message <[email protected]>, Scott Sturs
> > a writes:
> > >
> > >On Wed, 1 Aug 2001, Dave Stewart wrote:
> > >
> > >> I suspect we'll see it begin to pick up a little bit... it looks like
> > >> Billybob is just starting to get home from work and fire up his whizbang
> > >> Windows 2000 machine, which he put IIS on so he can share kewl warez and
> > >> mp3z with his leet friends...
> > >
> > >At 1500 EDT I put a counter on one of our commodity Internet connections,
> > >looking for port 80 connects to one of our unassigned /24 subnets.  Here
> > >are the results so far:
> > >
> > >1500-1530: 682
> > >1530-1600: 536
> > >1600-1630: 533
> > >1630-1700: 643
> > >
> > >Seems to be picking up.
> >
> > Maybe -- we need more data to be sure.  But -- given that a lot of
> > folks have patched systems over the last two weeks -- I suspect it's
> > running out of "food".  Look at the graph from the last go-round at
> > http://www.cert.org/advisories/CA-2001-23.html -- it leveled off, too.
> > (If the Worm is operating on UTC, the "stop" phase would have commenced
> > at 2000 EDT.  Even if it ran on local time, Western European machines
> > wouldn't quiesce until 1700.  The drop off starts well before that.)
> 
> 35331 so far here (from 5120 ip's of dead space), but it definatly
> seems to be leveling off - graphs and data (time_t, count) here:
> 
> http://mostly.pointless.net/~jasper/cr/
I've got 59448 from a /18's worth of assigned/unallocated space, just since
17:30 or so CDT (UTC -0500). 

-- 
Larry Rosenman                     http://www.lerctr.org/~ler
Phone: +1 972-414-9812                 E-Mail: [email protected]
US Mail: 1905 Steamboat Springs Drive, Garland, TX 75044-6749