North American Network Operators Group
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Re: Faster 'Net growth rate raises fears about routers

  • From: Geoff Huston
  • Date: Tue Apr 03 19:55:06 2001 
At 4/4/01 07:11 AM, Philip Smith wrote:
If you look at the graphs though, the routing table growth stopped around the end of the year. I've seen 101k prefixes give or take a few hundred in my view since 31st December.... Also, the number of /24s being announced has stopped growing. It's been 58k5 for the last 3 months...

Routing table growth is following the state of the Internet economies? Looks like it to me.

Absolutely - if you look at the strong US dollar and make the observation that connectivity prices for Internet are largely driven in USD currency, then the relatively stronger USD makes connectivity more expensive in other economies - this in turn damps down growth as new non-US markets which are dependant on exposure to lower unit prices remain unexposed until the comms price declines once more.

hmm - maybe we can use the first derivative of this BGP table metric as a global economy indicator :-)