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North American Network Operators Group Date Prev | Date Next | Date Index | Thread Index | Author Index | Historical Re: The Great Exchange
"Tom Walton" writes: > You're assuming that the internet will persist in its current form, > and just "scale up". I'd argue that, as network technology becomes > useful for non-nerds, consumers will pay for packaged data services > and not just for "access" to an expanded version of today's > web-morass. These information services, e.g., entertainment, news, > etc., will be big bandwidth burners. Simple economics will drive > the providers of these high-bandwidth services to the edges of the > network, and hence to a regional model for content distribution. Simple economics would drive content providers NOT to get into the distribution business. > Thus, the majority of bits, if not the majority of net "accesses" > (one ten minute video stream will likely dominate a residential > consumer's daily consumption) reaching consumers will be delivered > regionally. Lets say we have a residential bandwidth on the order of several megabits -- not unreasonable in another five or ten years, especially given that current technology could provide it. Why would a short video dominate consumption, especially given that people watch a whole lot more than small amounts of video, and the net is likely to replace all other distribution media in the long run? I find your arguments fairly unpersuasive. Perry
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